Commercial Real Estate Crisis
♫ Saturday, June 4th, 2011
Now we have reports that the Congressional Oversight Panel is warning that a wave of defaults on commercial real estate loans next year could see US banks losing $300 million. According to the report, about $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans will reach the end of their term between 2010 and 2014. It says commercial property values have fallen more than 40% since the start of 2007 and more than half the borrowers are “under water”, meaning they owe more on the property than what it’s worth with the collapse in prices.
This will affect more than 3000 small and mid-sized banks.
The thing that riles me the most about this report is that Treasury secretary Tim Geithner came out this week saying on the Department’s web site that the cost of the bailout is falling and that the work is more is or less done. “A year later, the actions we took, alongside the Recovery Act, have worked to restore economic growth and financial stability,” Geithner says. “Access to credit is improving and the cost of borrowing for businesses, consumers, homeowners, and state and local governments have fallen sharply.”
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